Osaka Major 2026 features a prediction campaign, traditional for Rainbow Six Siege (R6 Siege) esports.
By guessing tournament phase outcomes and playoff match results, you earn points for every correct choice. Reaching specific point thresholds unlocks up to eight reward tiers, with each tier granting increasingly valuable items.
Read on to discover all the essential details about the R6 Osaka Major prediction campaign, including the available rewards and prediction tips.
Key takeaways
- R6 Osaka Major predictions are tightly connected to the tournament phases: play-in, Swiss stage, and playoffs.
- For the play-in and Swiss stages, you need to predict which teams will advance to the next phase.
- During the playoff predictions, you should guess the outcome of each individual match.
- Every correct prediction earns you one point. You can earn up to 31 total points throughout the campaign and unlock up to eight reward tiers.
- Most tiers reward you with R6 Alpha Packs containing random cosmetic drops.
- Reaching tier 4 (16 points) unlocks the exclusive Kintsugi AK-74M weapon skin.
- Reaching tier 7 (28 points) awards a free Battle Pass for Year 11 Season 4 in Rainbow Six Siege.
Table of contents
All prediction rewards during R6 Osaka Major 2026
Participating in the R6 Osaka Major prediction campaign is completely risk-free. You win rewards if your picks are correct, and you have a great time enjoying Rainbow Six esports action even if your guesses went astray.
The prediction rewards include the following.
- Up to 24 Alpha Packs.
- An exclusive AK-74M Kintsugi skin.
- Free Year 11 Season 4 Battle Pass.
Check out the complete reward breakdown in the image below.
Analysis and prediction ideas
It is always worth remembering that no prediction guarantees a 100% success rate. Rainbow Six esports is brilliantly unpredictable!
The best part of this campaign is that you lose nothing by submitting your picks. While our analysis and examples may give some ideas for your personal predictions, keep in mind that no pick is an undeniable ticket to the rewards.
- You can submit your Osaka Major prediction via this official page.
Play-in
Lower-seeded teams and participants from smaller regions begin their R6 Major runs in phase 1 (the play-In stage).
Some of these players come from China, a relatively new region on the global Rainbow Six Siege esports scene. This makes their true competitive strength difficult to predict.
Four spots in the Swiss Stage are available during this phase. Your play-in predictions require picking the teams that will advance.
- DarkZero are the Salt Lake City Major champions. Even though they dropped to fourth place in the North American League, they remain a very strong candidate to move on.
- Virtus.pro is a strong team from the Europe and MENA region. They have experience battling elite opponents in local splits.
- LOS represents South America, a region of the world’s best Siege talent.
- Weibo Gaming had great runs in a few recent Rainbow Six international tournaments.
Swiss stage
This section of R6 Osaka Major predictions will be available right after the play-in matches are over. Stay tuned for our detailed Swiss Stage prediction ideas.
Playoffs
Predictions for the playoff matches will be unlocked immediately after the Swiss stage.
If you wish to receive guaranteed rewards during the Rainbow Six Siege Major in Osaka, check out the related Twitch Drops. Exclusive weapon skins, operator sets, and unique charms are available from just watching the live streams!
FAQs about R6 Osaka Major prediction campaign
When are predictions available for the R6 Osaka Major 2026?
The predictions campaign for the R6 Osaka Major play-ins became available slightly ahead of the tournament’s start on Nov. 6.
Each phase of the event has its own prediction section, which opens right after the previous phase finishes. The playoffs feature predictions up to the grand final on Nov. 15.
What rewards can I win from the R6 Osaka Major predictions campaign?
You can win up to 24 Alpha Packs, an exclusive AK-74M Kitsune weapon skin, and a free Battle Pass for Year 11 Season 4 in Rainbow Six Siege.
How do I unlock R6 Osaka Major prediction rewards?
Place your predictions via the official website and earn points for each correct choice. As you accumulate points, you unlock various reward tiers. There are up to eight tiers and a maximum of 31 points available in this campaign.
Is it really possible to win a free battle pass via the R6 Osaka Major prediction campaign?
Yes, but you need quite a lot of luck in your prediction picks to unlock the Y11S4 Battle Pass. It requires 28 points and reaching tier 7. Unlocking the AK-74 Kitsune skin feels a more realistic exclusive reward from this campaign.
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